Service Plays Saturday 10/11/08

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Big Al

Saturday
5* Texas+7
4* Northwestern+3
Opinion Kentucky Even (pick)
 

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Sat, 10/11/08 - 8:00 PMJeff Bonds | CFB Total
double-dime bet180 Florida / 179 LSU Under 47.0 SportBet
Analysis:
LSU/Florida UNDER 47 at Bookmaker.com



The LSU Tigers have had quite a long time to prepare for this battle and I anticipate that Les Miles will have a very conservative approach offensively for his freshman QB, as they travel to the Swamp for a night game.



On the other end - questions abound on the health of Percey Harvin and even when he was a 100% against Tennessee - Florida had trouble moving the ball at times.



Both enter a very favorable total trend, as the UNDER is 15-4 in Florida's last 19 games when revenging a loss of seven or fewer points and the UNDER is 12-3 in LSU's last 15 road games against top flight offenses.



Can't see more than 40 points scored in this MONSTER MATCHUP of the previous two national champions.




Sat, 10/11/08 - 12:00 PMJeff Bonds | CFB Total
double-dime bet120 Oklahoma / 119 Texas Over 57.0 BetUS
Analysis:
Oklahoma/Texas OVER 57 at Bookmaker.com



Analysis to be completed tonight - Let's just say that both teams have excelled in the redzone this season and have two very good quarterbacks to make this a TRUE "Red River Shootout
 

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Sat, 10/11/08 - 3:45 PMStephen Nover | CFB Side
double-dime bet178 Miami -17.0 (-110) Bodog vs 177 UCF
Analysis:
Miami Hurricanes -17

Analysis: Miami is very young, but there is a class difference here. The Hurricanes are going to have motivation here after losing close ACC games to North Carolina and Florida State in their last two games.

The Hurricanes want to bury their in-state rival. They don't want Central Florida to cut into their fertile recruiting base.

Miami has the athletes to bury Central Florida, which is seriously deficient at the skill positions. The Knights have only scored three touchdowns in three road games.

The Knights also have morale issues.
 

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Sat, 10/11/08 - 4:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Total
double-dime bet156 Nevada / 155 New Mexico St. Over 67.0 BetUS
Analysis:
Every single thing points to this game going way over. I actually have a projected score of 88 here, which is three entire touchdowns over the total. This should probably be a 3 Unit play but I've been burned on some totals this season and I have a bigger play for this week. This is one of my classic "One teams runs the ball well against a team that can't stop the run vs. a team that passes the ball well against a team that can't stop the pass.



Nevada ranks fourth in the nation in rushing offense, averaging 308.0 yards per game on the ground. The Wolf Pack has two of the top three rushers in the WAC, quarterback Colin Kaepernick is second at 102.2 yards per game and running back Vai Taua is third at 85.2 yards per game. Nevada is seventh nationally in total offense, averaging 521.2 yards per game. Defensively, Nevada ranks 118th against the pass, allowing a whopping 332 yards per game.



Meanwhile, the Aggies are allowing teams to run over them for 221 yards per game on the ground. Quarterback Chase Holbrook will have a big day throwing the football but New Mexico State will have no answers for Nevada's rushing attack.



Nevada is averaging 36.6 points per game, while the Aggies are scoring 27.5 points per game. The two are allowing tons of points, too, with Nevada surrendering 31.6 per contest and New Mexico State allowing 29.0. There is no way around it, this will be a shootout and an easy OVER.



**2 UNIT PLAY**




Sat, 10/11/08 - 8:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Side
triple-dime bet180 Florida 6.0 (-110) BetUS vs 179 LSU
Analysis: ***3 UNIT SEC GAME OF THE YEAR*** Analysis to follow.



tommy rider double -dime
illinois -11
 
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DR BOB

2 Star Selection
South Carolina (-1.0) 20 KENTUCKY 10


3 Star Selection
Kansas St. (-2.5) 34 TEXAS A&M 21

3 Star Selection
NORTH CAROLINA (-8.0) 35 Notre Dame 18


2 Star Selection
ARKANSAS ST. (-13.0) 42 UL Monroe 20

3 Star Selection
OREGON (-18.0) 44 UCLA 16



College Strong Opinions

SMU (+25.0) 30 Tulsa 49

Boise St. (-10.5) 38 SOUTHERN MISS 21
 

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Big Al 5* Ncaa Rivalry GOY - Texas

Larry Ness Legend Play - Georgia

Ben Burns Big 10 GOY - Wisconsin
 
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CKO CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF

PRIORITY PICKS and PREFERENCES
CKO Vol. 47 Oct. 9 - 13, 2008 No. 7

RATINGS: 11 - Exceptional, 10 - Strong, 9 - Above Average
CKO CHOICE IN CAPITALS
* - Denotes Home Team



11 *ARMY over Eastern Michigan
Late Score Forecast:
*ARMY 31 - Eastern Michigan 19

The Army’s new triple option running game is showing remarkable results, and the Cadets figure to present serious matchup challenges for Eastern Michigan. The Eagle defense ranks 99th against the run and is yielding
almost 5 ypc, and it’s surrendered 17 rush TDs & 38 ppg in the last 5 games. EMU is just 5-12 vs. the number in last 17 games under HC Jeff Genyk, and QB Andy Schmitt and Kyle McMahon have combined to throw just 4 TD passes but 6 ints. this season (last year Schmitt had a 14 TD/6 int. ratio). After rushing for 230 yds. in first two games, sr. Eagle RB Terrence Blevins has averaged just 33 ypg on the ground. Army is a tiny favorite, and EMU is 0-38-1 SU visiting non-conference foes since winning at Youngstown State on Sept. 10, 1988.



10 *INDIANA over Iowa
Late Score Forecast:
*INDIANA 23 - Iowa 19

Really don’t see enough difference between these two to warrant Iowa being made an early 5½-point road favorite over Indiana. Hoosiers have a dynamic, veteran QB in Kellen Lewis who’s completed 61% of his passes
this season and has rushed for 1552 yds. & 17 TDs in his career. Indiana’s 2ndary got a bit healthier last week vs. Minnesota with the return of safeties Austin Thomas and Nick Polk (combined for 17 tackles vs. Gophers). Hoosiers have gotten consistent big plays from track star RB Marcus Thigpen, who has 309 yards rushing & receiving and 4 TDs in the last 2 games, scoring 3 times on plays of more than 70 yards. Respect Iowa RB Shonn Greene’s credentials (6th in the nation in rushing), but he’s a bit of a “grinder” who scored just once in Big Ten games against Northwestern & Michigan State. Hoosier rush defense is more than respectable (3.1 ypc), and vet defenders LB Geno Johnson and DE Jammie Kirlew are having strong seasons.


10 UTAH over *Wyoming
Late Score Forecast:
UTAH 41 - *Wyoming 6

Undefeated Utah has a mean streak where Wyoming is concerned, as bad blood between these two goes way back. Last season the Utes recorded a 50-0 victory and certainly are not opposed to kicking an opponent when
it’s down. Just ask Utah State, as a 44-10 lead over the Aggies after 3 Qs on Sept. 13 just wasn’t good enough for Ute HC Kyle Whittingham, who watched his team punch across two more scores in 4th period. Wyoming HC Glenn’s “You’re Number One” signal during LY’s shellacking caught Whittingham’s attention, and the Cowboys are on an 0-13-1 pointspread run, rank last in the nation in scoring, and next to last in TO margin. Can’t be overly concerned about laying this many points on the road, as road favorites of 14 points or more are 11-5 this season, especially considering Wyo is coming off losses of 24, 29 and 44 pts. in last three games.

HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games):

NORTHWESTERN (+3) vs. Michigan State—NW QB Bacher threw for 520 yards and 5 TDs with no ints. in last season’s OT win at Michigan State, and the Wildcat run defense (112 ypg rushing; 3.4 ypc) is good enough to slow Spartan RB Javon Ringer a step or two...

MICHIGAN (-17) vs. Toledo—Michigan has bounced back from SU losses twice this season, and Toledo’s defense (36 ppg) will make Rich Rod’s Wolverine spread look good...

FLORIDA (-4) vs. Lsu—Tim Tebow has Florida offense on track, and this is a major revenge game for Gator side that is back in the thick of the national title race with a win over the Tigers...

LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE (-21½) vs. North Texas—North Texas is on our “go-against” list, vs. Cincinnati—Bengals have scored just 6 offensive TDs in 5 games. Brett Favre threw for 6 scores in Jets last game...you do the math.
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SCOTT FERRALL

Scott's free College Football Plays

KENTUCKY PK over S. Carolina--I like what I saw from the Wildcats against Alabama. They covered for me. S. Carolina allows to many points

GEORGIA -12.5 to Tennessee--The Vols really do BLOW

MIAMI -15 to Central Florida--Canes finally light somebody up

LSU +4 from Florida--it's a field goal game brothers ! Can the Tigers dance in Gainesville is the only question--I say yes !

BALL ST -16.5 to Western Kentucky--Cardinals prove they belong in the Top 25

WESTERN MICHIGAN +1 from Buffalo--WMU is 5-1 and 3-0 in the the Mid-American

NORTHWESTERN +3 from Michigan St

NORTHERN ILLINOIS -10.5 to Miami (Ohio)--Miami has zero defense and will get lit up
 
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Power Sweep

4* Miami 37-10
3* West Va. 45-10
3* N.D. 24-20
2* Bowling Green 30-20
2* Florida 30-17
2* Western Michigan 27-21
Underdog Northwestern +3 27-23
 

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Spylock:
1* Cincinnati, Utah, Vanderbilt, Arkansas State, Oklahoma State
 
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Allan Eastman

CFB RECORD 19-8 +$5,710.00

SMALL CARD THIS WEEK

$500.00 Western Michigan (+1.5) over Buffalo (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 11)

$400.00 Take #121 Eastern Michigan (-1) over Army (1 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 11)

$400.00 Take #123 Iowa State (+5) over Baylor (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 11)

$300.00#179 LSU (+6) over Florida (8 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 11)
 

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Colin Cowherd Saturday Games

LSU +6
Oklahoma -6.5
ND +8.5
Arizona St. +28.5
Penn St. -5.5

Soumi
 

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